Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.955873E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-12T19:42:04+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 16291
    NORAD ID 16291
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 31192
    NORAD ID 31192
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1704 FENGYUN 1C DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-15T03:34:02+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.955873E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.351 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.581 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.322 | I (In-track): -0.006 | C (Cross-track): 0.368
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.41
    X Position (km) 3701.076 3700.223
    Position Y (km) 4995.58 4993.819
    Position Z (km) -3991.133 -3989.829
    Velocity X (km/s) 1.473 -1.28
    Velocity Y (km/s) 3.788 -3.886
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.102 -5.986

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1704 FENGYUN 1C DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7360.187 km 7198.125 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003098 0.025751
    Inclination (i) 82.9323° 98.5797°
    RAAN 60.3865° 236.1755°
    Perigee Argument 173.2732° 30.0869°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 302.8305° 331.4821°
    Apogee 1004.855 km 1005.345 km
    Perigee 959.245 km 634.631 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-11T23:26:30+0000 2026-09-12T05:18:54+0000

    COSMOS 1704 & FENGYUN 1C DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1704 & FENGYUN 1C DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1704 & FENGYUN 1C DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1704 & FENGYUN 1C DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1704Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1704Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1704

    No nearby objects data