Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.489837E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-12T23:43:14+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 9654
    NORAD ID 9654
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 55787
    NORAD ID 55787
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 886 DEB STARLINK-5811
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-14T17:10:19+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.489837E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.621 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.838 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.278 | I (In-track): -1.424 | C (Cross-track): 2.182
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.38
    X Position (km) -2000.838 -2003.06
    Position Y (km) -4292.96 -4291.573
    Position Z (km) 5082.415 5082.332
    Velocity X (km/s) 6.222 1.415
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.192 -5.955
    Velocity Z (km/s) 4.216 -4.462

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 886 DEB STARLINK-5811
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7460.684 km 6950.165 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.068488 0.000291
    Inclination (i) 65.7677° 69.9989°
    RAAN 221.7959° 94.1059°
    Perigee Argument 60.7952° 268.5043°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 305.9827° 91.5783°
    Apogee 1593.511 km 574.048 km
    Perigee 571.583 km 570.008 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-12T07:55:31+0000 2026-09-12T06:55:06+0000

    COSMOS 886 DEB & STARLINK-5811 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 886 DEB & STARLINK-5811 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEB & STARLINK-5811 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 886 DEB & STARLINK-5811 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-5811Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-5811Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 886 DEB

    No nearby objects data