Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.343997E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-13T00:33:18+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 56916
    NORAD ID 56916
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-5973
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-14T15:16:34+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.343997E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.085 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.706 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.214 | I (In-track): 0.939 | C (Cross-track): 1.411
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.42
    X Position (km) -4649.165 -4649.564
    Position Y (km) 2193.742 2192.576
    Position Z (km) 4537.111 4535.429
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.934 -2.169
    Velocity Y (km/s) 3.332 -7.204
    Velocity Z (km/s) -5.622 1.256

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-5973
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6865.331 km 6861.197 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000948 0.000112
    Inclination (i) 97.5385° 43.0025°
    RAAN 325.6214° 99.1366°
    Perigee Argument 111.4534° 251.0366°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 248.7717° 109.0363°
    Apogee 493.705 km 483.832 km
    Perigee 480.683 km 482.288 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-12T06:01:39+0000 2026-09-11T21:02:08+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-5973 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-5973 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-5973 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-5973 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-5973Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-5973Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data