Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.951433E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-14T05:33:16+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 13949
    NORAD ID 13949
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 31068
    NORAD ID 31068
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1448 FENGYUN 1C DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-13T21:54:14+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.951433E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.305 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.577 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.837 | I (In-track): 0.807 | C (Cross-track): 1.99
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.41
    X Position (km) 786.697 787.684
    Position Y (km) -792.424 -794.163
    Position Z (km) -7261.778 -7260.634
    Velocity X (km/s) 7.248 -4.402
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.133 -5.826
    Velocity Z (km/s) 0.648 0.228

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1448 FENGYUN 1C DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7355.733 km 7239.585 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.002860 0.016560
    Inclination (i) 82.9608° 98.6592°
    RAAN 8.5148° 230.5556°
    Perigee Argument 235.5027° 65.5823°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 135.5955° 296.2526°
    Apogee 998.633 km 981.332 km
    Perigee 956.559 km 741.564 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-13T13:38:42+0000 2026-09-11T03:52:44+0000

    COSMOS 1448 & FENGYUN 1C DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1448 & FENGYUN 1C DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1448 & FENGYUN 1C DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1448 & FENGYUN 1C DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1448Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1448Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1448

    No nearby objects data