Conjunction Event Detail

    Very Low Risk
    Very low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    9.936277E-7
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-12T07:04:02+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34979
    NORAD ID 34979
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 65123
    NORAD ID 65123
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB GEESAT 4-05
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-13T18:13:36+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 9.936277E-7
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.125 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 3.2 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.11 | I (In-track): -0.23 | C (Cross-track): 0.082
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.35
    X Position (km) 376.15 376.408
    Position Y (km) 6893.066 6895.17
    Position Z (km) 1131.199 1131.344
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.167 -4.961
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.099 -0.659
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.151 5.656

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB GEESAT 4-05
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6997.214 km 6999.972 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.004575 0.000756
    Inclination (i) 74.0359° 49.9945°
    RAAN 88.5964° 88.9588°
    Perigee Argument 99.4290° 292.7975°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 261.2065° 67.2163°
    Apogee 651.092 km 627.130 km
    Perigee 587.062 km 616.540 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-11T12:45:54+0000 2026-09-11T14:24:02+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GEESAT 4-05 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GEESAT 4-05 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GEESAT 4-05 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GEESAT 4-05 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    GEESAT 4-05Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    GEESAT 4-05Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data