Conjunction Event Detail

    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    6.463175E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-11T13:54:48+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 25112
    NORAD ID 25112
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    ORB ORB
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 34546
    NORAD ID 34546
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter ORBCOMM FM 8 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-13T18:04:28+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 6.463175E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.715 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 10.715 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.23 | I (In-track): 0.478 | C (Cross-track): -0.478
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.71
    X Position (km) -1848.136 -1847.674
    Position Y (km) 5109.033 5109.575
    Position Z (km) 4579.584 4579.523
    Velocity X (km/s) -7.142 -0.998
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.624 -5.171
    Velocity Z (km/s) -2.176 5.331

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter ORBCOMM FM 8 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7112.198 km 7115.616 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000400 0.002112
    Inclination (i) 45.0151° 74.0280°
    RAAN 5.7302° 101.5661°
    Perigee Argument 13.0756° 114.2206°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 347.0200° 5.0194°
    Apogee 736.910 km 752.511 km
    Perigee 731.212 km 722.447 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-09T22:26:33+0000 2026-09-10T17:23:23+0000

    ORBCOMM FM 8 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    ORBCOMM FM 8 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 8 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    ORBCOMM FM 8 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 8Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 8Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with ORBCOMM FM 8

    No nearby objects data