Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.938426E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-11T21:57:06+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 25419
    NORAD ID 25419
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    ORB ORB
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 34001
    NORAD ID 34001
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter ORBCOMM FM 14 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-13T17:58:30+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.938426E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.864 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 5.947 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.273 | I (In-track): 1.248 | C (Cross-track): -0.541
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.41
    X Position (km) 2864.256 2864.885
    Position Y (km) -4626.243 -4625.448
    Position Z (km) 4607.112 4605.549
    Velocity X (km/s) 6.852 4.67
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.102 -2.418
    Velocity Z (km/s) -2.139 -5.328

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter ORBCOMM FM 14 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7135.704 km 7145.429 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000402 0.002005
    Inclination (i) 44.9944° 74.0384°
    RAAN 191.6897° 141.3253°
    Perigee Argument 10.0026° 162.8321°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 350.0902° 254.3827°
    Apogee 760.436 km 781.623 km
    Perigee 754.698 km 752.961 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-11T05:31:09+0000 2026-09-10T17:46:23+0000

    ORBCOMM FM 14 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    ORBCOMM FM 14 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 14 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    ORBCOMM FM 14 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 14Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 14Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with ORBCOMM FM 14

    No nearby objects data