Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.067565E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-12T09:21:54+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59545
    NORAD ID 59545
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31582
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-13T07:52:07+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.067565E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.736 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 8.064 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.147 | I (In-track): 1.442 | C (Cross-track): -0.891
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.36
    X Position (km) -5314.582 -5311.966
    Position Y (km) 2992.705 2992.01
    Position Z (km) 3139.053 3139.451
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.468 -4.813
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.681 -4.49
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.701 -3.854

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31582
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6865.363 km 6861.197 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000949 0.000125
    Inclination (i) 97.5387° 43.0038°
    RAAN 325.1585° 15.0040°
    Perigee Argument 112.8077° 263.5525°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 247.4164° 96.5184°
    Apogee 493.740 km 483.917 km
    Perigee 480.712 km 482.203 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-11T19:00:45+0000 2026-09-11T09:45:35+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31582 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31582 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31582 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31582 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31582Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31582Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data