Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.024612E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-10T23:29:41+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 58700
    NORAD ID 58700
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59789
    NORAD ID 59789
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter TIANMU-1 15 STARLINK-31863
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-13T03:51:03+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.024612E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.28 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.907 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.69 | I (In-track): 0.614 | C (Cross-track): -1.401
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.41
    X Position (km) 357.779 356.423
    Position Y (km) 5985.945 5984.944
    Position Z (km) -3342.263 -3340.729
    Velocity X (km/s) 1.349 -6.489
    Velocity Y (km/s) 3.585 -1.645
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.586 -3.641

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter TIANMU-1 15 STARLINK-31863
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6861.701 km 6861.206 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000826 0.000138
    Inclination (i) 97.4669° 43.0026°
    RAAN 79.5075° 249.3139°
    Perigee Argument 45.2281° 268.8738°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 314.9629° 91.1956°
    Apogee 489.230 km 484.018 km
    Perigee 477.898 km 482.120 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-10T06:47:55+0000 2026-09-09T17:15:58+0000

    TIANMU-1 15 & STARLINK-31863 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    TIANMU-1 15 & STARLINK-31863 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    TIANMU-1 15 & STARLINK-31863 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    TIANMU-1 15 & STARLINK-31863 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    TIANMU-1 15Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31863Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    TIANMU-1 15Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31863Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with TIANMU-1 15

    No nearby objects data