Conjunction Event Detail

    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    5.397039E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-12T18:30:47+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 15292
    NORAD ID 15292
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 34474
    NORAD ID 34474
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1598 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-12T20:45:41+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 5.397039E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.261 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 10.971 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.165 | I (In-track): -0.124 | C (Cross-track): -0.158
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.9
    X Position (km) -160.616 -160.802
    Position Y (km) -2310.191 -2310.076
    Position Z (km) 6964.721 6964.581
    Velocity X (km/s) 2.42 6.59
    Velocity Y (km/s) -6.628 3.004
    Velocity Z (km/s) -2.154 1.035

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1598 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7366.248 km 7244.673 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003312 0.020148
    Inclination (i) 82.9429° 74.0748°
    RAAN 108.4806° 209.0514°
    Perigee Argument 145.3393° 218.3929°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 7.9907° 319.1464°
    Apogee 1012.505 km 1012.501 km
    Perigee 963.717 km 720.571 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-12T01:44:58+0000 2026-09-11T14:31:00+0000

    COSMOS 1598 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1598 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1598 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1598 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1598Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1598Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1598

    No nearby objects data