Conjunction Event Detail

    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    5.863494E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-11T13:45:11+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 15292
    NORAD ID 15292
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 34474
    NORAD ID 34474
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1598 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-12T20:45:41+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 5.863494E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.244 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 10.97 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.127 | I (In-track): 0.144 | C (Cross-track): 0.15
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.9
    X Position (km) -160.676 -160.485
    Position Y (km) -2309.947 -2309.991
    Position Z (km) 6964.853 6964.708
    Velocity X (km/s) 2.42 6.589
    Velocity Y (km/s) -6.628 3.005
    Velocity Z (km/s) -2.153 1.035

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1598 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7366.249 km 7244.686 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003301 0.020161
    Inclination (i) 82.9431° 74.0747°
    RAAN 109.5170° 211.9492°
    Perigee Argument 149.1760° 221.7092°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 270.3508° 207.4643°
    Apogee 1012.426 km 1012.607 km
    Perigee 963.798 km 720.491 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-10T16:04:05+0000 2026-09-09T22:46:51+0000

    COSMOS 1598 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1598 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1598 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1598 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1598Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1598Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1598

    No nearby objects data