Conjunction Event Detail

    Extreme Risk
    Extreme collision probability. Maneuver strongly recommended for primary asset.
    1.494219E-3
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-11T14:40:41+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 30802
    NORAD ID 30802
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 33945
    NORAD ID 33945
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter FENGYUN 1C DEB COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-12T14:46:31+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.494219E-3
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.048 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.839 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.031 | I (In-track): -0.002 | C (Cross-track): -0.036
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.98
    X Position (km) -4747.523 -4747.492
    Position Y (km) -263.107 -263.073
    Position Z (km) 5355.696 5355.685
    Velocity X (km/s) -5.516 5.249
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.421 -2.803
    Velocity Z (km/s) -4.808 4.49

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter FENGYUN 1C DEB COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7154.415 km 7153.967 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001657 0.002314
    Inclination (i) 98.8341° 74.0305°
    RAAN 350.5153° 168.2052°
    Perigee Argument 321.8169° 194.7716°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 159.9434° 165.2764°
    Apogee 788.134 km 792.382 km
    Perigee 764.422 km 759.278 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-10T02:28:31+0000 2026-09-10T12:20:05+0000

    FENGYUN 1C DEB & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    FENGYUN 1C DEB & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEB & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    FENGYUN 1C DEB & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with FENGYUN 1C DEB

    No nearby objects data