Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.46466E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-11T13:56:19+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19256
    NORAD ID 19256
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 41922
    NORAD ID 41922
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1954 IRIDIUM 104
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-12T10:13:31+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.46466E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.788 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.647 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -2.363 | I (In-track): -0.289 | C (Cross-track): 1.45
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.38
    X Position (km) 3656.225 3656.192
    Position Y (km) 5034.671 5037.123
    Position Z (km) 3524.766 3526.091
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.142 -2.599
    Velocity Y (km/s) 4.209 -2.662
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.167 6.474

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1954 IRIDIUM 104
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7153.185 km 7155.805 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001698 0.000242
    Inclination (i) 74.0447° 86.3935°
    RAAN 246.9664° 52.6521°
    Perigee Argument 242.5909° 95.8615°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 117.3517° 264.2857°
    Apogee 787.191 km 779.400 km
    Perigee 762.905 km 775.936 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-10T10:41:00+0000 2026-09-10T19:34:32+0000

    COSMOS 1954 & IRIDIUM 104 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1954 & IRIDIUM 104 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1954 & IRIDIUM 104 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1954 & IRIDIUM 104 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1954Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    IRIDIUM 104Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1954Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    IRIDIUM 104Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1954

    No nearby objects data