Conjunction Event Detail

    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.531231E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-04T12:50:36+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 61864
    NORAD ID 61864
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-32318
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-06T13:19:00+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.531231E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.865 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 6.644 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.776 | I (In-track): -0.341 | C (Cross-track): 0.169
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.63
    X Position (km) 5436.382 5437.085
    Position Y (km) -1892.749 -1893.226
    Position Z (km) 3723.367 3723.527
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.483 0.26
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.465 6.945
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.316 3.144

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-32318
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6851.126 km 6861.224 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000996 0.000133
    Inclination (i) 82.5099° 43.0017°
    RAAN 338.8311° 313.9014°
    Perigee Argument 207.0097° 270.3801°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 153.0627° 89.6898°
    Apogee 479.810 km 484.002 km
    Perigee 466.168 km 482.172 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-03T16:09:04+0000 2026-09-03T12:54:01+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-32318 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-32318 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-32318 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-32318 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-32318Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-32318Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data