Conjunction Event Detail

    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    7.195359E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-04T12:50:36+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59889
    NORAD ID 59889
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31969
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-06T10:07:15+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 7.195359E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.724 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.282 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.392 | I (In-track): -0.309 | C (Cross-track): 0.525
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.72
    X Position (km) 6020.383 6020.597
    Position Y (km) -2341.81 -2342.496
    Position Z (km) 2303.087 2302.999
    Velocity X (km/s) -1.99 3.657
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.905 4.931
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.107 -4.527

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31969
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6851.126 km 6861.202 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000996 0.000072
    Inclination (i) 82.5099° 43.0022°
    RAAN 338.8311° 199.1165°
    Perigee Argument 207.0097° 269.2256°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 153.0627° 90.8513°
    Apogee 479.810 km 483.560 km
    Perigee 466.168 km 482.570 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-03T16:09:04+0000 2026-09-03T06:08:26+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31969 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31969 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31969 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31969 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31969Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31969Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data