Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    4.823671E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-04T22:58:10+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 58737
    NORAD ID 58737
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31101
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-06T07:04:19+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.823671E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.455 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 7.858 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.453 | I (In-track): -0.034 | C (Cross-track): -0.029
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.49
    X Position (km) 5032.754 5033.805
    Position Y (km) -1592.523 -1592.831
    Position Z (km) 4372.439 4373.396
    Velocity X (km/s) -4.189 0.733
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.679 7.366
    Velocity Z (km/s) 5.778 1.836

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31101
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6851.111 km 6861.200 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001001 0.000211
    Inclination (i) 82.5099° 43.0058°
    RAAN 338.2371° 291.6210°
    Perigee Argument 204.8549° 283.7871°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 155.2212° 76.2746°
    Apogee 479.830 km 484.511 km
    Perigee 466.118 km 481.615 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-04T06:16:09+0000 2026-09-04T04:33:12+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31101 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31101 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31101 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31101 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31101Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31101Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data