Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    6.457205E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-05T17:58:37+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 58011
    NORAD ID 58011
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-30497
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-06T03:39:47+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 6.457205E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.482 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.189 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.891 | I (In-track): -0.582 | C (Cross-track): 1.031
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.51
    X Position (km) 5682.421 5682.518
    Position Y (km) -2860.552 -2861.834
    Position Z (km) -2571.358 -2572.092
    Velocity X (km/s) 3.006 1.137
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.315 6.158
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.993 -4.345

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-30497
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6851.086 km 6861.208 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001011 0.000151
    Inclination (i) 82.5099° 43.0046°
    RAAN 337.3131° 133.6927°
    Perigee Argument 201.4318° 258.6812°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 158.6501° 101.3870°
    Apogee 479.877 km 484.105 km
    Perigee 466.021 km 482.037 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-05T04:13:49+0000 2026-09-05T01:37:31+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30497 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30497 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30497 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30497 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30497Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30497Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data