Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.366313E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-04T12:50:36+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 51463
    NORAD ID 51463
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-3419
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-05T22:21:53+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.366313E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.871 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.924 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.821 | I (In-track): 0.221 | C (Cross-track): 0.49
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.38
    X Position (km) -5959.095 -5961.676
    Position Y (km) 2219.732 2220.144
    Position Z (km) -2545.6 -2546.787
    Velocity X (km/s) 2.253 -3.743
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.982 -3.861
    Velocity Z (km/s) -7.017 5.409

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-3419
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6851.126 km 6848.846 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000996 0.000125
    Inclination (i) 82.5099° 53.1591°
    RAAN 338.8311° 189.4764°
    Perigee Argument 207.0097° 85.3434°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 153.0627° 274.7711°
    Apogee 479.810 km 471.568 km
    Perigee 466.168 km 469.850 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-03T16:09:04+0000 2026-09-03T06:16:46+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-3419 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-3419 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-3419 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-3419 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-3419Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-3419Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data