Conjunction Event Detail

    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    4.04221E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-05T09:45:06+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34118
    NORAD ID 34118
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 63395
    NORAD ID 63395
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB LEMUR 2 BALTO
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-05T15:03:20+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.04221E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.813 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 9.727 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.302 | I (In-track): -0.575 | C (Cross-track): 0.489
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.67
    X Position (km) -1114.281 -1114.19
    Position Y (km) 2022.497 2021.883
    Position Z (km) 6538.285 6538.81
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.587 5.826
    Velocity Y (km/s) -6.53 -4.27
    Velocity Z (km/s) 1.365 2.301

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB LEMUR 2 BALTO
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6930.825 km 6942.973 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.005256 0.000915
    Inclination (i) 73.9472° 97.6728°
    RAAN 65.8833° 140.1084°
    Perigee Argument 187.7780° 150.0160°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 234.1768° 210.1590°
    Apogee 589.118 km 571.193 km
    Perigee 516.258 km 558.479 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-04T19:49:44+0000 2026-09-04T09:55:49+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & LEMUR 2 BALTO Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & LEMUR 2 BALTO Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & LEMUR 2 BALTO Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & LEMUR 2 BALTO Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    LEMUR 2 BALTOMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    LEMUR 2 BALTOCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data