Conjunction Event Detail

    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.717909E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-05T00:59:43+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59233
    NORAD ID 59233
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31459
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-05T13:47:26+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.717909E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.965 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.45 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.92 | I (In-track): 0.171 | C (Cross-track): -0.234
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.64
    X Position (km) 5422.737 5423.475
    Position Y (km) -1767.674 -1767.643
    Position Z (km) 3803.915 3804.535
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.611 3.999
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.433 5.749
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.257 -3.022

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31459
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6851.111 km 6861.137 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001001 0.000145
    Inclination (i) 82.5099° 43.0045°
    RAAN 338.2371° 215.1589°
    Perigee Argument 204.8549° 266.7419°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 155.2212° 93.3267°
    Apogee 479.830 km 483.995 km
    Perigee 466.118 km 482.005 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-04T06:16:09+0000 2026-09-04T05:51:33+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31459 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31459 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31459 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31459 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31459Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31459Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data