Conjunction Event Detail

    Very Low Risk
    Very low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    6.107566E-7
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-05T06:30:14+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 33766
    NORAD ID 33766
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 69814
    NORAD ID 69814
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB QIANFAN-215
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-05T09:18:12+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 6.107566E-7
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.764 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 2.914 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.703 | I (In-track): -0.567 | C (Cross-track): -0.095
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.31
    X Position (km) 4751.499 4752.85
    Position Y (km) -673.143 -673.481
    Position Z (km) -5369.506 -5371.893
    Velocity X (km/s) 5.422 5.507
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.293 -0.583
    Velocity Z (km/s) 4.503 4.957

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB QIANFAN-215
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7150.992 km 7197.398 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.006229 0.000907
    Inclination (i) 74.1879° 88.9976°
    RAAN 11.7975° 353.1447°
    Perigee Argument 139.7309° 43.1547°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 220.8484° 317.0353°
    Apogee 817.400 km 825.790 km
    Perigee 728.310 km 812.732 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-04T15:08:46+0000 2026-09-04T14:56:59+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & QIANFAN-215 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & QIANFAN-215 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & QIANFAN-215 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & QIANFAN-215 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    QIANFAN-215Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    QIANFAN-215Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data