Conjunction Event Detail

    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    6.275374E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-05T12:36:59+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 37968
    NORAD ID 37968
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 43152
    NORAD ID 43152
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    JP JP

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ASNARO-2
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-05T07:36:37+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 6.275374E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.78 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.15 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.613 | I (In-track): 0.06 | C (Cross-track): -0.477
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.71
    X Position (km) -1859.861 -1860.158
    Position Y (km) -4005.019 -4004.577
    Position Z (km) 5265.18 5264.611
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.746 1.026
    Velocity Y (km/s) -6.18 5.834
    Velocity Z (km/s) -4.436 4.788

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ASNARO-2
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6927.867 km 6876.723 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.007437 0.000179
    Inclination (i) 73.9974° 97.4004°
    RAAN 87.1967° 253.4730°
    Perigee Argument 136.4087° 86.0145°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 224.3013° 274.1296°
    Apogee 601.250 km 499.814 km
    Perigee 498.210 km 497.358 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-04T07:07:44+0000 2026-09-04T18:46:09+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ASNARO-2 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ASNARO-2 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ASNARO-2 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ASNARO-2 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    ASNARO-2Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    ASNARO-2Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data