Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    4.406693E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-04T12:40:01+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 18214
    NORAD ID 18214
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 62949
    NORAD ID 62949
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1869 STARLINK-32857
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-04T23:51:18+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.406693E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.598 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 10.709 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.227 | I (In-track): 1.125 | C (Cross-track): -1.111
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.48
    X Position (km) 4135.73 4136.049
    Position Y (km) 681.564 682.96
    Position Z (km) -5413.991 -5413.283
    Velocity X (km/s) 5.542 -2.408
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.557 7.173
    Velocity Z (km/s) 4.555 -0.936

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1869 STARLINK-32857
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6828.141 km 6840.825 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001743 0.000189
    Inclination (i) 82.5114° 53.1586°
    RAAN 20.5255° 120.1841°
    Perigee Argument 139.4292° 103.8013°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 220.8256° 256.3200°
    Apogee 461.907 km 463.982 km
    Perigee 438.101 km 461.394 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-03T15:18:33+0000 2026-09-03T15:27:26+0000

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-32857 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-32857 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-32857 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-32857 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-32857Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-32857Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1869

    No nearby objects data