Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    4.823961E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-03T08:36:24+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 58619
    NORAD ID 58619
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31054
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-04T20:18:35+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.823961E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.627 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.337 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.295 | I (In-track): 0.478 | C (Cross-track): -0.86
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.49
    X Position (km) 5942.003 5943.606
    Position Y (km) -2737.564 -2737.292
    Position Z (km) -2067.718 -2067.769
    Velocity X (km/s) 2.501 1.109
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.006 5.925
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.197 -4.667

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31054
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6851.171 km 6861.279 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000985 0.000098
    Inclination (i) 82.5101° 43.0059°
    RAAN 340.2168° 152.6577°
    Perigee Argument 212.0831° 255.4679°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 147.9811° 104.6064°
    Apogee 479.784 km 483.814 km
    Perigee 466.284 km 482.470 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-02T07:12:32+0000 2026-09-01T19:13:31+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31054 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31054 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31054 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31054 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31054Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31054Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data