Conjunction Event Detail

    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.521765E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-04T12:50:36+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 47834
    NORAD ID 47834
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-2424
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-04T13:12:46+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.521765E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.557 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.826 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.556 | I (In-track): -0.007 | C (Cross-track): -0.019
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.79
    X Position (km) -5536.882 -5536.422
    Position Y (km) 2670.873 2670.673
    Position Z (km) 3012.662 3012.422
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.479 0.045
    Velocity Y (km/s) 0.448 -5.681
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.781 5.1

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-2424
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6851.126 km 6848.873 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000996 0.000114
    Inclination (i) 82.5099° 53.1586°
    RAAN 338.8311° 137.8849°
    Perigee Argument 207.0097° 82.0570°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 153.0627° 278.0561°
    Apogee 479.810 km 471.517 km
    Perigee 466.168 km 469.955 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-03T16:09:04+0000 2026-09-03T10:26:45+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-2424 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-2424 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-2424 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-2424 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-2424Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-2424Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data