Conjunction Event Detail

    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.174675E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-03T08:36:24+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59836
    NORAD ID 59836
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31929
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-03T12:57:44+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.174675E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.034 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 5.296 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.01 | I (In-track): 0.21 | C (Cross-track): -0.072
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.56
    X Position (km) 6202.062 6203.05
    Position Y (km) -2581.457 -2581.759
    Position Z (km) -1393.406 -1393.417
    Velocity X (km/s) 1.804 3.135
    Velocity Y (km/s) 0.347 4.861
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.395 4.967

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31929
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6851.171 km 6861.206 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000985 0.000137
    Inclination (i) 82.5101° 43.0044°
    RAAN 340.2168° 0.5851°
    Perigee Argument 212.0831° 273.9470°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 147.9811° 86.1225°
    Apogee 479.784 km 484.011 km
    Perigee 466.284 km 482.127 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-02T07:12:32+0000 2026-09-01T17:05:53+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31929 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31929 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31929 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31929 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31929Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31929Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data