Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    9.514357E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-08-31T14:10:27+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 36441
    NORAD ID 36441
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 53019
    NORAD ID 53019
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-4282
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-08-31T06:53:20+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 9.514357E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.319 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.118 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.317 | I (In-track): 0.021 | C (Cross-track): -0.044
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.55
    X Position (km) 5938.035 5939.18
    Position Y (km) -715.909 -716.094
    Position Z (km) -3331.235 -3331.863
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.213 3.304
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.848 4.874
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.353 4.85

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-4282
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6911.966 km 6843.375 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.010327 0.000110
    Inclination (i) 73.8335° 53.1623°
    RAAN 166.4014° 20.2066°
    Perigee Argument 211.2733° 76.6197°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 148.2291° 283.4928°
    Apogee 605.207 km 465.991 km
    Perigee 462.451 km 464.485 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-08-30T01:21:07+0000 2026-08-30T18:32:20+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-4282 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-4282 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-4282 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-4282 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4282Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4282Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data