Conjunction Event Detail

    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    4.888231E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-08-29T07:46:09+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 39205
    NORAD ID 39205
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 44350
    NORAD ID 44350
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    TW TW

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB FORMOSAT7-4/COSMIC2-4
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-08-28T23:50:05+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.888231E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.789 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 11.144 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.268 | I (In-track): 0.505 | C (Cross-track): 0.545
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.69
    X Position (km) -2888.634 -2888.835
    Position Y (km) -5676.603 -5675.966
    Position Z (km) -2794.644 -2795.064
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.379 6.641
    Velocity Y (km/s) -2.194 -3.607
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.853 0.464

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB FORMOSAT7-4/COSMIC2-4
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6967.649 km 6955.041 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.004719 0.000093
    Inclination (i) 97.8144° 23.9995°
    RAAN 238.5817° 326.6113°
    Perigee Argument 281.8148° 340.5493°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 77.7780° 19.4972°
    Apogee 622.396 km 577.552 km
    Perigee 556.628 km 576.256 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-08-27T23:48:34+0000 2026-08-28T12:59:48+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & FORMOSAT7-4/COSMIC2-4 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & FORMOSAT7-4/COSMIC2-4 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & FORMOSAT7-4/COSMIC2-4 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & FORMOSAT7-4/COSMIC2-4 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    FORMOSAT7-4/COSMIC2-4Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    FORMOSAT7-4/COSMIC2-4Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data